Papers

Peer-reviewed, published journal articles.

Total 89 items.

2024

  1. The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7
    B. M. Sanderson, B. B. B. Booth, J. Dunne, V. Eyring, R. A. Fisher, P. Friedlingstein, M. J. Gidden, T. Hajima, C. D. Jones, C. G. Jones, A. King, C. D. Koven, D. M. Lawrence, J. Lowe, N. Mengis, G. P. Peters, J. Rogelj, C. Smith, A. C. Snyder, I. R. Simpson, A. L. S. Swann, C. Tebaldi, T. Ilyina, C.-F. Schleussner, R. Séférian, B. H. Samset, D. Vuuren, and S. Zaehle
    Geoscientific Model Development, Nov 2024
  2. Adjustments to Climate Perturbations—Mechanisms, Implications, Observational Constraints
    Johannes Quaas, Timothy Andrews, Nicolas Bellouin, Karoline Block, Olivier Boucher, Paulo Ceppi, Guy Dagan, Sabine Doktorowski, Hannah Marie Eichholz, Piers Forster, Tom Goren, Edward Gryspeerdt, Øivind Hodnebrog, Hailing Jia, Ryan Kramer, Charlotte Lange, Amanda C. Maycock, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Gunnar Myhre, Fiona M. O’Connor, Robert Pincus, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Fabian Senf, Keith P. Shine, Chris Smith, Camilla Weum Stjern, Toshihiko Takemura, Velle Toll, and Casey J. Wall
    AGU Advances, Oct 2024
  3. Overconfidence in climate overshoot
    Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Gaurav Ganti, Quentin Lejeune, Biqing Zhu, Peter Pfleiderer, Ruben Prütz, Philippe Ciais, Thomas L. Frölicher, Sabine Fuss, Thomas Gasser, Matthew J. Gidden, Chahan M. Kropf, Fabrice Lacroix, Robin Lamboll, Rosanne Martyr, Fabien Maussion, Jamie W. McCaughey, Malte Meinshausen, Matthias Mengel, Zebedee Nicholls, Yann Quilcaille, Benjamin Sanderson, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Jana Sillmann, Christopher J. Smith, Norman J. Steinert, Emily Theokritoff, Rachel Warren, Jeff Price, and Joeri Rogelj
    Nature, Oct 2024
  4. Present-day methane shortwave absorption mutes surface warming relative to preindustrial conditions
    Robert J. Allen, Xueying Zhao, Cynthia A. Randles, Ryan J. Kramer, Bjørn H. Samset, and Christopher J. Smith
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Oct 2024
  5. High radiative forcing climate scenario relevance analyzed with a ten-million-member ensemble
    Marcus C. Sarofim, Christopher J. Smith, Parker Malek, Erin E. McDuffie, Corinne A. Hartin, Claire R. Lay, and Sarah McGrath
    Nature Communications, Sep 2024
  6. How much methane removal is required to avoid overshooting 1.5 °C?
    Chris Smith, and Camilla Mathison
    Environmental Research Letters, Jul 2024
  7. Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence
    Piers M. Forster, Chris Smith, Tristram Walsh, William F. Lamb, Robin Lamboll, Bradley Hall, Mathias Hauser, Aurélien Ribes , Debbie Rosen, Nathan P. Gillett, Matthew D. Palmer, Joeri Rogelj, Karina Von Schuckmann, Blair Trewin, Myles Allen, Robbie Andrew, Richard A. Betts, Alex Borger, Tim Boyer, Jiddu A. Broersma, Carlo Buontempo, Samantha Burgess, Chiara Cagnazzo, Lijing Cheng, Pierre Friedlingstein, Andrew Gettelman, Johannes Gütschow, Masayoshi Ishii, Stuart Jenkins, Xin Lan, Colin Morice, Jens Mühle, Christopher Kadow, John Kennedy, Rachel E. Killick, Paul B. Krummel, Jan C. Minx, Gunnar Myhre, Vaishali Naik, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Sophie Szopa, Peter Thorne, Mahesh V. M. Kovilakam, Elisa Majamäki, Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen, Margreet Van Marle, Rachel M. Hoesly, Robert Rohde, Dominik Schumacher, Guido Van Der Werf, Russell Vose, Kirsten Zickfeld, Xuebin Zhang, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, and Panmao Zhai
    Earth System Science Data, Jun 2024
  8. Efficacy of climate forcings in transient CMIP6 simulations
    Gunnar Myhre, Rachael E. Byrom, Timothy Andrews, Piers M. Forster, and Christopher J. Smith
    Frontiers in Climate, Jun 2024
  9. A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios: towards representative emission pathways (REPs)
    Malte Meinshausen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Kathleen Beyer, Greg Bodeker, Olivier Boucher, Josep G. Canadell, John S. Daniel, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Fatima Driouech, Erich Fischer, Piers Forster, Michael Grose, Gerrit Hansen, Zeke Hausfather, Tatiana Ilyina, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Joyce Kimutai, Andrew D. King, June-Yi Lee, Chris Lennard, Tabea Lissner, Alexander Nauels, Glen P. Peters, Anna Pirani, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Hans Pörtner, Joeri Rogelj, Maisa Rojas, Joyashree Roy, Bjørn H. Samset, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Sonia Seneviratne, Christopher J. Smith, Sophie Szopa, Adelle Thomas, Diana Urge-Vorsatz, Guus J. M. Velders, Tokuta Yokohata, Tilo Ziehn, and Zebedee Nicholls
    Geoscientific Model Development, Jun 2024
  10. Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change – progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP
    Stephanie Fiedler, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O’Connor, Christopher J. Smith, Paul Griffiths, Ryan J. Kramer, Toshihiko Takemura, Robert J. Allen, Ulas Im, Matthew Kasoar, Angshuman Modak, Steven Turnock, Apostolos Voulgarakis, Duncan Watson-Parris, Daniel M. Westervelt, Laura J. Wilcox, Alcide Zhao, William J. Collins, Michael Schulz, Gunnar Myhre, and Piers M. Forster
    Geoscientific Model Development, Mar 2024
  11. Chemistry-albedo feedbacks offset up to a third of forestation’s CO2 removal benefits
    James Weber, James A. King, Nathan Luke Abraham, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Christopher J. Smith, Youngsub Matthew Shin, Peter Lawrence, Stephanie Roe, David J. Beerling, and Maria Val Martin
    Science, Feb 2024

2023

  1. The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change
    Robert E. Kopp, Gregory G. Garner, Tim H. J. Hermans, Shantenu Jha, Praveen Kumar, Alexander Reedy, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Matteo Turilli, Tamsin L. Edwards, Jonathan M. Gregory, George Koubbe, Anders Levermann, Andre Merzky, Sophie Nowicki, Matthew D. Palmer, and Chris Smith
    Geoscientific Model Development, Dec 2023
  2. Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets
    Robin D. Lamboll, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, Jarmo S. Kikstra, Edward Byers, and Joeri Rogelj
    Nature Climate Change, Dec 2023
  3. Constraints on simulated past Arctic amplification and lapse rate feedback from observations
    Olivia Linke, Johannes Quaas, Finja Baumer, Sebastian Becker, Jan Chylik, Sandro Dahlke, André Ehrlich, Dörthe Handorf, Christoph Jacobi, Heike Kalesse-Los, Luca Lelli, Sina Mehrdad, Roel A. J. Neggers, Johannes Riebold, Pablo Saavedra Garfias, Niklas Schnierstein, Matthew D. Shupe, Chris Smith, Gunnar Spreen, Baptiste Verneuil, Kameswara S. Vinjamuri, Marco Vountas, and Manfred Wendisch
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Sep 2023
  4. Comparison of methods to estimate aerosol effective radiative forcings in climate models
    Mark D. Zelinka, Christopher J. Smith, Yi Qin, and Karl E. Taylor
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Aug 2023
  5. Historical Changes and Reasons for Model Differences in Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing in CMIP6
    Stephanie Fiedler, Twan Van Noije, Christopher J. Smith, Olivier Boucher, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Alf Kirkevåg, Dirk Olivié, Rovina Pinto, Thomas Reerink, Adriana Sima, and Michael Schulz
    Geophysical Research Letters, Aug 2023
  6. Climate uncertainty impacts on optimal mitigation pathways and social cost of carbon
    Christopher J. Smith, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Pu Yang, and Doris Folini
    Environmental Research Letters, Aug 2023
  7. Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: annual update of large-scale indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence
    P. M. Forster, C. J. Smith, T. Walsh, W. F. Lamb, R. Lamboll, M. Hauser, A. Ribes , D. Rosen, N. Gillett, M. D. Palmer, J. Rogelj, K. Schuckmann, S. I. Seneviratne, B. Trewin, X. Zhang, M. Allen, R. Andrew, A. Birt, A. Borger, T. Boyer, J. A. Broersma, L. Cheng, F. Dentener, P. Friedlingstein, J. M. Gutiérrez, J. Gütschow, B. Hall, M. Ishii, S. Jenkins, X. Lan, J.-Y. Lee, C. Morice, C. Kadow, J. Kennedy, R. Killick, J. C. Minx, V. Naik, G. P. Peters, A. Pirani, J. Pongratz, C.-F. Schleussner, S. Szopa, P. Thorne, R. Rohde, M. Rojas Corradi, D. Schumacher, R. Vose, K. Zickfeld, V. Masson-Delmotte, and P. Zhai
    Earth System Science Data, Jun 2023
  8. Surface warming and wetting due to methane’s long-wave radiative effects muted by short-wave absorption
    Robert J. Allen, Xueying Zhao, Cynthia A. Randles, Ryan J. Kramer, Bjørn H. Samset, and Christopher J. Smith
    Nature Geoscience, Apr 2023
  9. Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback
    B. B. Cael, Jonah Bloch-Johnson, Paulo Ceppi, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Philip Goodwin, Jonathan M. Gregory, Christopher J. Smith, and Richard G. Williams
    Science Advances, Apr 2023
  10. 21st Century Scenario Forcing Increases More for CMIP6 Than CMIP5 Models
    Hege‐Beate Fredriksen, Christopher J. Smith, Angshuman Modak, and Maria Rugenstein
    Geophysical Research Letters, Mar 2023
  11. Large Contribution of Ozone‐Depleting Substances to Global and Arctic Warming in the Late 20th Century
    M. Sigmond, L. M. Polvani, J. C. Fyfe, C. J. Smith, J. N. S. Cole, and M. R. England
    Geophysical Research Letters, Mar 2023
  12. Scaling up gas and electric cooking in low- and middle-income countries: climate threat or mitigation strategy with co-benefits?
    Emily Floess, Andrew Grieshop, Elisa Puzzolo, Dan Pope, Nicholas Leach, Christopher J Smith, Annelise Gill-Wiehl, Katherine Landesman, and Rob Bailis
    Environmental Research Letters, Mar 2023
  13. Gender equality and climate change mitigation: Are women a secret weapon?
    Mathilde Rainard, Christopher J. Smith, and Shonali Pachauri
    Frontiers in Climate, Feb 2023
  14. Uncompensated claims to fair emission space risk putting Paris Agreement goals out of reach
    Gaurav Ganti, Matthew J Gidden, Christopher J Smith, Claire Fyson, Alexander Nauels, Keywan Riahi, and Carl-Friedrich Schleußner
    Environmental Research Letters, Feb 2023
  15. Tonga eruption increases chance of temporary surface temperature anomaly above 1.5 °C
    Stuart Jenkins, Chris Smith, Myles Allen, and Roy Grainger
    Nature Climate Change, Feb 2023

2022

  1. Modeling the non-CO2 contribution to climate change
    Christopher J. Smith, and Thomas Gasser
    One Earth, Dec 2022
  2. Post COP26 : does the 1.5°C climate target remain alive?
    Andy Wiltshire, Dan Bernie, Laila Gohar, Jason Lowe, Camilla Mathison, and Chris Smith
    Weather, Dec 2022
  3. The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures
    Jarmo S. Kikstra, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, Jared Lewis, Robin D. Lamboll, Edward Byers, Marit Sandstad, Malte Meinshausen, Matthew J. Gidden, Joeri Rogelj, Elmar Kriegler, Glen P. Peters, Jan S. Fuglestvedt, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Bjørn H. Samset, Laura Wienpahl, Detlef P. Van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar Van Der Wijst, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Piers M. Forster, Andy Reisinger, Roberto Schaeffer, and Keywan Riahi
    Geoscientific Model Development, Dec 2022
  4. Large uncertainty in future warming due to aerosol forcing
    Duncan Watson-Parris, and Christopher J. Smith
    Nature Climate Change, Nov 2022
  5. Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled
    Z. Nicholls, M. Meinshausen, J. Lewis, C. J. Smith, P. M. Forster, J. S. Fuglestvedt, J. Rogelj, J. S. Kikstra, K. Riahi, and E. Byers
    Geophysical Research Letters, Oct 2022
  6. Robust evidence for reversal of the trend in aerosol effective climate forcing
    Johannes Quaas, Hailing Jia, Chris Smith, Anna Lea Albright, Wenche Aas, Nicolas Bellouin, Olivier Boucher, Marie Doutriaux-Boucher, Piers M. Forster, Daniel Grosvenor, Stuart Jenkins, Zbigniew Klimont, Norman G. Loeb, Xiaoyan Ma, Vaishali Naik, Fabien Paulot, Philip Stier, Martin Wild, Gunnar Myhre, and Michael Schulz
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Sep 2022
  7. The key role of propane in a sustainable cooling sector
    Pallav Purohit, Lena Höglund-Isaksson, Nathan Borgford-Parnell, Zbigniew Klimont, and Christopher J Smith
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Sep 2022
  8. Institutional decarbonization scenarios evaluated against the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C goal
    Robert J. Brecha, Gaurav Ganti, Robin D. Lamboll, Zebedee Nicholls, Bill Hare, Jared Lewis, Malte Meinshausen, Michiel Schaeffer, Christopher J. Smith, and Matthew J. Gidden
    Nature Communications, Aug 2022
  9. Errors in Simple Climate Model Emulations of Past and Future Global Temperature Change
    L. S. Jackson, A. C. Maycock, T. Andrews, H.‐B. Fredriksen, C. J. Smith, and P. M. Forster
    Geophysical Research Letters, Aug 2022
  10. The Bristol CMIP6 Data Hackathon
    Dann M. Mitchell, Emma J. Stone, Oliver D. Andrews, Jonathan L. Bamber, Rory J. Bingham, Jo Browse, Matthew Henry, David M. MacLeod, Joanne M. Morten, Christoph A. Sauter, Christopher J. Smith, James Thomas, Stephen I. Thomson, Jamie D. Wilson, and  the Bristol CMIP6 Data Hackathon Participants
    Weather, Jun 2022
  11. Estimating the timing of geophysical commitment to 1.5 and 2.0 °C of global warming
    M. T. Dvorak, K. C. Armour, D. M. W. Frierson, C. Proistosescu, M. B. Baker, and C. J. Smith
    Nature Climate Change, Jun 2022
  12. Imminent loss of climate space for permafrost peatlands in Europe and Western Siberia
    Richard E. Fewster, Paul J. Morris, Ruza F. Ivanovic, Graeme T. Swindles, Anna M. Peregon, and Christopher J. Smith
    Nature Climate Change, Apr 2022
  13. Scientific data from precipitation driver response model intercomparison project
    Gunnar Myhre, Bjørn Samset, Piers M. Forster, Øivind Hodnebrog, Marit Sandstad, Christian W. Mohr, Jana Sillmann, Camilla W. Stjern, Timothy Andrews, Olivier Boucher, Gregory Faluvegi, Trond Iversen, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Matthew Kasoar, Alf Kirkevåg, Ryan Kramer, Longbo Liu, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Dirk Olivié, Johannes Quaas, Thomas B. Richardson, Dilshad Shawki, Drew Shindell, Chris Smith, Philip Stier, Tao Tang, Toshihiko Takemura, Apostolos Voulgarakis, and Duncan Watson-Parris
    Scientific Data, Mar 2022
  14. Climate change research and action must look beyond 2100
    Christopher Lyon, Erin E. Saupe, Christopher J. Smith, Daniel J. Hill, Andrew P. Beckerman, Lindsay C. Stringer, Robert Marchant, James McKay, Ariane Burke, Paul O’Higgins, Alexander M. Dunhill, Bethany J. Allen, Julien Riel‐Salvatore, and Tracy Aze
    Global Change Biology, Jan 2022
  15. Demand vs supply-side approaches to mitigation: What final energy demand assumptions are made to meet 1.5 and 2 °C targets?
    Kate Scott, Christopher J. Smith, Jason A. Lowe, and Luis Garcia-Carreras
    Global Environmental Change, Jan 2022

2021

  1. Biased Estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response Derived From Historical CMIP6 Simulations
    Yue Dong, Kyle C. Armour, Cristian Proistosescu, Timothy Andrews, David S. Battisti, Piers M. Forster, David Paynter, Christopher J. Smith, and Hideo Shiogama
    Geophysical Research Letters, Dec 2021
  2. What Can We Do to Address Climate Change?
    Paloma Trascasa-Castro, and Christopher J. Smith
    Frontiers for Young Minds, Oct 2021
  3. Suppressed Late-20th Century Warming in CMIP6 Models Explained by Forcing and Feedbacks
    Christopher J Smith, and Piers M Forster
    Geophysical Research Letters, Oct 2021
  4. pyam: Analysis and visualisation of integrated assessment and macro-energy scenarios
    Daniel Huppmann, Matthew J. Gidden, Zebedee Nicholls, Jonas Hörsch, Robin Lamboll, Paul N. Kishimoto, Thorsten Burandt, Oliver Fricko, Edward Byers, Jarmo Kikstra, Maarten Brinkerink, Maik Budzinski, Florian Maczek, Sebastian Zwickl-Bernhard, Lara Welder, Erik Francisco Álvarez Quispe, and Christopher J. Smith
    Open Research Europe, Sep 2021
  5. Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity
    C. J. Smith, G. R. Harris, M. D. Palmer, N. Bellouin, W. Collins, G. Myhre, M. Schulz, J. C. Golaz, M. Ringer, T. Storelvmo, and P. M. Forster
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Sep 2021
  6. Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections
    Z. Nicholls, M. Meinshausen, J. Lewis, M. Rojas Corradi, K. Dorheim, T. Gasser, R. Gieseke, A. P. Hope, N. J. Leach, L. A. McBride, Y. Quilcaille, J. Rogelj, R. J. Salawitch, B. H. Samset, M. Sandstad, A. Shiklomanov, R. B. Skeie, C. J. Smith, S. J. Smith, X. Su, J. Tsutsui, B. Vega‐Westhoff, and D. L. Woodard
    Earth’s Future, Jun 2021
  7. FaIRv2.0.0: A generalized impulse response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration
    Nicholas J. Leach, Stuart Jenkins, Zebedee Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, John Lynch, Michelle Cain, Tristram Walsh, Bill Wu, Junichi Tsutsui, and Myles R. Allen
    Geoscientific Model Development, Jun 2021
  8. Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise
    Tamsin L. Edwards, Sophie Nowicki, Ben Marzeion, Regine Hock, Heiko Goelzer, Hélène Seroussi, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Donald A. Slater, Fiona E. Turner, Christopher J. Smith, Christine M. McKenna, Erika Simon, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Jonathan M. Gregory, Eric Larour, William H. Lipscomb, Antony J. Payne, Andrew Shepherd, Cécile Agosta, Patrick Alexander, Torsten Albrecht, Brian Anderson, Xylar Asay-Davis, Andy Aschwanden, Alice Barthel, Andrew Bliss, Reinhard Calov, Christopher Chambers, Nicolas Champollion, Youngmin Choi, Richard Cullather, Joshua Cuzzone, Christophe Dumas, Denis Felikson, Xavier Fettweis, Koji Fujita, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R. Golledge, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Matthias Huss, Philippe Huybrechts, Walter Immerzeel, Thomas Kleiner, Philip Kraaijenbrink, Sébastien Le Clec’H, Victoria Lee, Gunter R. Leguy, Christopher M. Little, Daniel P. Lowry, Jan-Hendrik Malles, Daniel F. Martin, Fabien Maussion, Mathieu Morlighem, James F. O’Neill, Isabel Nias, Frank Pattyn, Tyler Pelle, Stephen F. Price, Aurélien Quiquet, Valentina Radić, Ronja Reese, David R. Rounce, Martin Rückamp, Akiko Sakai, Courtney Shafer, Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Sarah Shannon, Robin S. Smith, Fiammetta Straneo, Sainan Sun, Lev Tarasov, Luke D. Trusel, Jonas Van Breedam, Roderik Van De Wal, Michiel Van Den Broeke, Ricarda Winkelmann, Harry Zekollari, Chen Zhao, Tong Zhang, and Thomas Zwinger
    Nature, May 2021
  9. Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing
    Ryan J. Kramer, Haozhe He, Brian J. Soden, Lazaros Oreopoulos, Gunnar Myhre, Piers M. Forster, and Christopher J. Smith
    Geophysical Research Letters, Apr 2021
  10. On the Structure of Instantaneous Radiative Forcing Kernels for Greenhouse Gases
    Amanda C. Maycock, Christopher J. Smith, Alexandru Rap, and Owain Rutherford
    Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Mar 2021
  11. The Effect of Anthropogenic Aerosols on the Aleutian Low
    William J. Dow, Amanda C. Maycock, Marcus Lofverstrom, and Christopher J. Smith
    Journal of Climate, Mar 2021
  12. Effective Radiative Forcing in a GCM With Fixed Surface Temperatures
    Timothy Andrews, Christopher J. Smith, Gunnar Myhre, Piers M. Forster, Robin Chadwick, and Duncan Ackerley
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Feb 2021
  13. Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates
    Christine M. McKenna, Amanda C. Maycock, Piers M. Forster, Christopher J. Smith, and Katarzyna B. Tokarska
    Nature Climate Change, Feb 2021
  14. An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget
    H Damon Matthews, Katarzyna B Tokarska, Joeri Rogelj, Christopher J Smith, Andrew H MacDougall, Karsten Haustein, Nadine Mengis, Sebastian Sippel, Piers M Forster, and Reto Knutti
    Communications Earth & Environment, Feb 2021
  15. Effective radiative forcing from emissions of reactive gases and aerosols – a multi-model comparison
    Gillian D. Thornhill, William J. Collins, Ryan J. Kramer, Dirk Olivié, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Fiona M. O’Connor, Nathan Luke Abraham, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Susanne E. Bauer, Makoto Deushi, Louisa K. Emmons, Piers M. Forster, Larry W. Horowitz, Ben Johnson, James Keeble, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Martine Michou, Michael J. Mills, Jane P. Mulcahy, Gunnar Myhre, Pierre Nabat, Vaishali Naik, Naga Oshima, Michael Schulz, Christopher J. Smith, Toshihiko Takemura, Simone Tilmes, Tongwen Wu, Guang Zeng, and Jie Zhang
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Jan 2021
  16. Climate-driven chemistry and aerosol feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models
    Gillian D. Thornhill, William J. Collins, Dirk Olivié, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Alex Archibald, Susanne Bauer, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Stephanie Fiedler, Gerd Folberth, Ada Gjermundsen, Larry Horowitz, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Martine Michou, Jane Mulcahy, Pierre Nabat, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O’Connor, Fabien Paulot, Michael Schulz, Catherine E. Scott, Roland Séférian, Chris Smith, Toshihiko Takemura, Simone Tilmes, Kostas Tsigaridis, and James Weber
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Jan 2021

2020

  1. The effect of rapid adjustments to halocarbons and N2O on radiative forcing
    Øivind Hodnebrog, Gunnar Myhre, Ryan J. Kramer, Keith P. Shine, Timothy Andrews, Gregory Faluvegi, Matthew Kasoar, Alf Kirkevåg, Jean-François Lamarque, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Dirk Olivié, Bjørn H. Samset, Drew Shindell, Christopher J. Smith, Toshihiko Takemura, and Apostolos Voulgarakis
    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Nov 2020
  2. Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: introduction and evaluation of global-mean temperature response
    Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Jared Lewis, Robert Gieseke, Dietmar Dommenget, Kalyn Dorheim, Chen-Shuo Fan, Jan S. Fuglestvedt, Thomas Gasser, Ulrich Golüke, Philip Goodwin, Corinne Hartin, Austin P. Hope, Elmar Kriegler, Nicholas J. Leach, Davide Marchegiani, Laura A. McBride, Yann Quilcaille, Joeri Rogelj, Ross J. Salawitch, Bjørn H. Samset, Marit Sandstad, Alexey N. Shiklomanov, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Christopher J. Smith, Steve Smith, Katsumasa Tanaka, Junichi Tsutsui, and Zhiang Xie
    Geoscientific Model Development, Oct 2020
  3. Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19
    Piers M. Forster, Harriet I. Forster, Mat J. Evans, Matthew J. Gidden, Chris D. Jones, Christoph A. Keller, Robin D. Lamboll, Corinne Le Quéré, Joeri Rogelj , Deborah Rosen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Thomas B. Richardson, Christopher J. Smith, and Steven T. Turnock
    Nature Climate Change, Oct 2020
  4. Large Variations in Volcanic Aerosol Forcing Efficiency Due to Eruption Source Parameters and Rapid Adjustments
    Lauren R. Marshall, Christopher J. Smith, Piers M. Forster, Anja Schmidt, Thomas J. Aubry, Timothy Andrews, and Anja Schmidt
    Geophysical Research Letters, Sep 2020
  5. The HadGEM3-GA7.1 radiative kernel: the importance of a well-resolved stratosphere
    Christopher J. Smith, Ryan J. Kramer, and Adriana Sima
    Earth System Science Data, Sep 2020
  6. Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models
    Christopher J. Smith, Ryan J. Kramer, Gunnar Myhre, Kari Alterskjær, William Collins, Adriana Sima, Olivier Boucher, Jean-Louis Dufresne, Pierre Nabat, Martine Michou, Seiji Yukimoto, Jason Cole, David Paynter, Hideo Shiogama, Fiona M. O’Connor, Eddy Robertson, Andy Wiltshire, Timothy Andrews, Cécile Hannay, Ron Miller, Larissa Nazarenko, Alf Kirkevåg, Dirk Olivié, Stephanie Fiedler, Anna Lewinschal, Chloe Mackallah, Martin Dix, Robert Pincus, and Piers M. Forster
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Aug 2020
  7. Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing
    Andrea J. Dittus, Ed Hawkins, Laura J. Wilcox, Rowan T. Sutton, Christopher J. Smith, Martin B. Andrews, and Piers M. Forster
    Geophysical Research Letters, Jul 2020
  8. Radiative forcing of climate change from the Copernicus reanalysis of atmospheric composition
    Nicolas Bellouin, Will Davies, Keith P Shine, Johannes Quaas, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Piers M Forster, Chris Smith, Lindsay Lee, Leighton Regayre, Guy Brasseur, Natalia Sudarchikova, Idir Bouarar, Olivier Boucher, and Gunnar Myhre
    Earth System Science Data, Jul 2020
  9. Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing
    D. Watson‐Parris, N. Bellouin, L. T. Deaconu, N. A. J. Schutgens, M. Yoshioka, L. A. Regayre, K. J. Pringle, J. S. Johnson, C. J. Smith, K. S. Carslaw, and P. Stier
    Geophysical Research Letters, May 2020
  10. Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models
    Katarzyna B Tokarska, Martin B Stolpe, Sebastian Sippel, Erich M Fischer, Christopher J Smith, Flavio Lehner, and Reto Knutti
    Science Advances, Mar 2020
  11. Latest climate models confirm need for urgent mitigation
    Piers M. Forster, Amanda C. Maycock, Christine M. McKenna, and Christopher J. Smith
    Nature Climate Change, Jan 2020

2019

  1. Efficacy of Climate Forcings in PDRMIP Models
    T. B. Richardson, P. M. Forster, C. J. Smith, A. C. Maycock, T. Wood, T. Andrews, O. Boucher, G. Faluvegi, D. Fläschner, Ø. Hodnebrog, M. Kasoar, A. Kirkevåg, J.‐F. Lamarque, J. Mülmenstädt, G. Myhre, D. Olivié, R. W. Portmann, B. H. Samset, D. Shawki, D. Shindell, P. Stier, T. Takemura, A. Voulgarakis, and D. Watson‐Parris
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Dec 2019
  2. Guidance on emissions metrics for nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement
    Steve Denison, Piers M Forster, and Christopher J Smith
    Environmental Research Letters, Nov 2019
  3. Climate and air-quality benefits of a realistic phase-out of fossil fuels
    Drew Shindell, and Christopher J Smith
    Nature, Sep 2019
  4. Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets
    Joeri Rogelj, Piers M. Forster, Elmar Kriegler, Christopher J. Smith, and Roland Séférian
    Nature, Jul 2019
  5. Arctic Amplification Response to Individual Climate Drivers
    Camilla Weum Stjern, Marianne Tronstad Lund, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Gunnar Myhre, Piers M. Forster, Timothy Andrews, Olivier Boucher, Gregory Faluvegi, Dagmar Fläschner, Trond Iversen, Matthew Kasoar, Viatcheslav Kharin, Alf Kirkevåg, Jean‐François Lamarque, Dirk Olivié, Thomas Richardson, Maria Sand, Dilshad Shawki, Drew Shindell, Christopher J. Smith, Toshihiko Takemura, and Apostolos Voulgarakis
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Jul 2019
  6. Observationally constrained aerosol–cloud semi-direct effects
    Robert J. Allen, Anahita Amiri-Farahani, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Chris Smith, Drew Shindell, Taufiq Hassan, and Chul E. Chung
    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, May 2019
  7. Comparison of Effective Radiative Forcing Calculations Using Multiple Methods, Drivers, and Models
    T. Tang, D. Shindell, G. Faluvegi, G. Myhre, D. Olivié, A. Voulgarakis, M. Kasoar, T. Andrews, O. Boucher, P.M. Forster, Ø. Hodnebrog, T. Iversen, A. Kirkevåg, J.‐F. Lamarque, T. Richardson, B.H. Samset, C.W. Stjern, T. Takemura, and C. Smith
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Apr 2019
  8. Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming
    Christopher J Smith, Piers M Forster, Myles Allen, Jan Fuglestvedt, Richard J Millar, Joeri Rogelj, and Kirsten Zickfeld
    Nature Communications, Jan 2019

2018

  1. Understanding Rapid Adjustments to Diverse Forcing Agents
    Christopher J. Smith, R J Kramer, G Myhre, P M Forster, B J Soden, T Andrews, O Boucher, G Faluvegi, D Fläschner,  Hodnebrog, M Kasoar, V Kharin, A Kirkevåg, J. F. Lamarque, J Mülmenstädt, D Olivié, T Richardson, B H Samset, D Shindell, P Stier, T Takemura, A Voulgarakis, and D. Watson-Parris
    Geophysical Research Letters, Nov 2018
  2. Quantifying the Importance of Rapid Adjustments for Global Precipitation Changes
    G Myhre, R J Kramer, C J Smith, Ø Hodnebrog, P Forster, B J Soden, B H Samset, C W Stjern, T Andrews, O Boucher, G Faluvegi, D Fläschner, M Kasoar, A Kirkevåg, J.-F. Lamarque, D Olivié, T Richardson, D Shindell, P Stier, T Takemura, A Voulgarakis, and D. Watson‐Parris
    Geophysical Research Letters, Oct 2018
  3. FAIR v1.3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model
    C J Smith, P M Forster, M Allen, N Leach, R J Millar, G A Passerello, and L A Regayre
    Geoscientific Model Development, Jun 2018
  4. Climate Impacts From a Removal of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions
    B H Samset, M Sand, C J Smith, S E Bauer, P M Forster, J S Fuglestvedt, S Osprey, and C.-F. Schleussner
    Geophysical Research Letters, Jan 2018

2017

  1. Rapid Adjustments Cause Weak Surface Temperature Response to Increased Black Carbon Concentrations
    Camilla Weum Stjern, Bjørn Hallvard Samset, Gunnar Myhre, Piers M Forster, Øivind Hodnebrog, Timothy Andrews, Olivier Boucher, Gregory Faluvegi, Trond Iversen, Matthew Kasoar, Viatcheslav Kharin, Alf Kirkevåg, Jean-François Lamarque, Dirk Olivié, Thomas Richardson, Dilshad Shawki, Drew Shindell, Christopher J Smith, Toshihiko Takemura, and Apostolos Voulgarakis
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Nov 2017
  2. Impacts of Stratospheric Sulfate Geoengineering on Global Solar Photovoltaic and Concentrating Solar Power Resource
    Christopher J Smith, Julia A. Crook, Rolf Crook, Lawrence S Jackson, Scott M Osprey, and Piers M Forster
    Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, May 2017
  3. Cloud cover effect of clear-sky index distributions and differences between human and automatic cloud observations
    Christopher J Smith, Jamie M Bright, and Rolf Crook
    Solar Energy, Mar 2017
  4. Determination of the atmospheric lifetime and global warming potential of sulfur hexafluoride using a three-dimensional model
    Tamás Kovács, Wuhu Feng, Anna Totterdill, John M C Plane, Sandip Dhomse, Juan Carlos Gómez-Martín, Gabriele P Stiller, Florian J Haenel, Christopher Smith, Piers M Forster, Rolando R García, Daniel R Marsh, and Martyn P Chipperfield
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Jan 2017

2016

  1. Recommendations for diagnosing effective radiative forcing from climate models for CMIP6
    Piers M Forster, Thomas Richardson, Amanda C Maycock, Christopher J Smith, Bjorn H Samset, Gunnar Myhre, Timothy Andrews, Robert Pincus, and Michael Schulz
    Journal of Geophysical Research, Oct 2016
  2. Atmospheric lifetimes, infrared absorption spectra, radiative forcings and global warming potentials of NF 3 and CF 3 CF 2 Cl (CFC-115)
    Anna Totterdill, Tamás Kovács, Wuhu Feng, Sandip Dhomse, Christopher J. Smith, Juan Carlos Gómez-Martín, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Piers M. Forster, and John M. C. Plane
    Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Sep 2016
  3. An all-sky radiative transfer method to predict optimal tilt and azimuth angle of a solar collector
    C J Smith, P M Forster, and R Crook
    Solar Energy, Jan 2016

2015

  1. Stochastic generation of synthetic minutely irradiance time series derived from mean hourly weather observation data
    J.M. Bright, C.J. Smith, P.G. Taylor, and R. Crook
    Solar Energy, May 2015

2014

  1. Global analysis of photovoltaic energy output enhanced by phase change material cooling
    C J Smith, P M Forster, and R Crook
    Applied Energy, Aug 2014